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What could make this get really messy is that there are at Retired I do what I want when I want see also not my problem anymore shirt, states that traditionally vote Democratic, but there are no Democratic Senators running in traditionally “red” states. A changeover of 5 seats would shift the Senate majority from the Republicans back to the Democrats. This means, first of all, that these Senators might be pressured to break with their party and support bringing the nomination forward, just to remove it as an issue in the election, and it means that those five Senate races will receive nearly as much money and attention from both parties as the presidential race will. The truth is that Republicans are rolling the dice by blocking an Obama nominee.
They are betting that a year from now, they will still have a Republican Senate and Retired I do what I want when I want see also not my problem anymore shirt. And there is certainly a good chance this will be the case. It should be noted that the second-to-last scenario is very unlikely but not impossible; a very close presidential election could still see a change in control of the Senate, because there are exactly enough vulnerable Republican senators to swing the majority the other way, and it’s possible a Democratic candidate for president could win all the states in which those Senators are running (driving up Dem turnout there) and yet still lose a close general election.